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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Dartmouth College2.97+3.58vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+3.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+1.77vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26-0.17vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.74-1.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.75-2.97vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.77-3.78vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.59-4.16vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.54+0.24vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.32-2.39vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.85-4.91vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.71-5.65vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.32-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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4.83Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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12.24McGill University0.540.0%1st Place
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10.61Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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9.09Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.35University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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10.41Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Billy Rohman | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Rian Bareuther | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.9% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Mumma | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| James Altreuter | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Moakes | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Fohl | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 49.5% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Justin Marks | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Edward Moan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.