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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.45+1.99vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.44-0.01vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.59-0.83vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-0.86vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Maryland-0.4517.8%1st Place
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1.99Columbia University0.4443.6%1st Place
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3.38Princeton University-0.3213.6%1st Place
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3.17University of Delaware-0.5915.2%1st Place
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4.14SUNY Stony Brook-1.307.2%1st Place
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5.33Monmouth University-2.582.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Grigg | 17.8% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 43.6% | 27.8% | 17.8% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 13.6% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Coffill | 15.2% | 19.1% | 23.7% | 22.7% | 14.5% | 4.9% |
| Sophia Dimont | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 34.2% | 17.0% |
| Julia Marich | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 15.6% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.