Race 11A

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sam White 21.7% 20.3% 21.7% 15.9% 9.3% 6.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 36.2% 27.8% 16.5% 9.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jay Spector 8.9% 9.1% 11.4% 12.9% 14.4% 14.8% 12.8% 10.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Spencer Nora 5.8% 7.9% 11.7% 13.1% 14.0% 13.7% 14.0% 10.1% 6.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Amanda Stapp 8.2% 8.6% 12.1% 13.0% 15.6% 13.4% 13.1% 8.2% 5.4% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Boo Devanny 4.8% 6.8% 7.3% 9.4% 9.5% 13.4% 15.0% 16.4% 11.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Daniel Birmingham 8.1% 11.1% 10.9% 13.0% 13.6% 15.3% 11.7% 9.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Patrick Mazzeo 3.6% 4.9% 4.8% 6.7% 9.2% 9.8% 15.0% 17.3% 16.2% 9.7% 2.2% 0.6%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 0.9% 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 3.7% 5.8% 11.6% 18.7% 29.6% 19.4% 3.8%
Allie Howe 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.8% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 6.9% 15.1% 41.6% 26.1%
Aidan Barrett 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 3.3% 6.0% 19.9% 66.4%
Sarah Seski 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.7% 2.5% 4.1% 6.2% 12.2% 21.6% 27.4% 14.5% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.