Race 1B

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Riley Engelberger 16.4% 14.5% 12.6% 13.3% 12.8% 12.1% 9.9% 6.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Colin Keil 7.5% 7.3% 12.1% 8.9% 11.4% 13.4% 15.8% 13.7% 8.6% 1.3%
James Morgan 15.4% 15.2% 13.1% 15.2% 14.4% 12.2% 7.8% 4.3% 2.4% 0.0%
Matthew Ricci 14.2% 13.7% 14.8% 15.3% 12.0% 12.2% 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 21.3% 20.9% 18.0% 13.6% 9.8% 7.5% 4.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 12.1% 9.5% 10.9% 11.9% 14.0% 11.8% 13.8% 11.3% 4.3% 0.4%
Kyle Magno 6.7% 10.8% 10.0% 11.7% 12.6% 13.3% 15.5% 12.9% 5.4% 1.1%
Elizabeth Foulston 4.0% 6.5% 6.0% 6.8% 8.2% 11.0% 13.2% 23.8% 15.5% 5.0%
Patrick Firth 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 5.8% 10.9% 33.8% 37.3%
Benjamin Hayes 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 4.1% 7.3% 25.4% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.