Race 2B

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mary Kate Mezzetti 25.1% 17.7% 15.6% 13.5% 11.7% 7.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Matthew Ricci 13.6% 14.9% 13.8% 12.8% 13.9% 12.1% 9.7% 6.8% 2.3% 0.1%
Kyle Magno 8.1% 8.4% 10.1% 8.9% 13.1% 14.1% 16.6% 13.5% 6.6% 0.6%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 10.0% 10.2% 11.7% 14.4% 11.7% 13.8% 14.0% 10.1% 3.6% 0.5%
Patrick Firth 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 11.0% 34.0% 35.7%
Elizabeth Foulston 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 6.6% 8.6% 9.7% 14.8% 22.8% 15.3% 5.6%
James Morgan 14.4% 16.0% 15.7% 15.4% 13.1% 10.9% 8.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Colin Keil 7.8% 9.0% 10.3% 10.5% 10.5% 14.1% 13.6% 14.0% 9.1% 1.1%
Benjamin Hayes 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 7.3% 24.7% 56.1%
Riley Engelberger 13.6% 15.2% 14.1% 13.9% 12.7% 11.2% 10.3% 6.7% 2.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.