Race 3B

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colin Keil 8.5% 9.5% 10.0% 9.6% 10.8% 12.4% 14.8% 16.3% 6.8% 1.3%
Matthew Ricci 13.4% 14.3% 14.1% 12.7% 14.2% 11.6% 10.4% 6.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 21.8% 17.4% 18.4% 13.3% 12.9% 7.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 9.7% 11.9% 11.2% 12.5% 13.0% 13.9% 13.1% 9.6% 4.8% 0.3%
Kyle Magno 8.8% 10.0% 8.6% 11.4% 12.5% 13.1% 15.2% 13.1% 6.0% 1.3%
Riley Engelberger 17.1% 12.2% 13.6% 15.2% 12.0% 13.2% 8.8% 6.2% 1.6% 0.1%
James Morgan 13.9% 17.4% 16.0% 13.6% 12.4% 12.3% 7.8% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Elizabeth Foulston 4.3% 5.5% 5.8% 7.4% 8.0% 10.2% 16.0% 22.6% 15.4% 4.8%
Patrick Firth 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 2.3% 3.1% 4.9% 11.7% 33.9% 37.4%
Benjamin Hayes 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 6.9% 26.5% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.