Race 4B

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matthew Ricci 14.6% 14.5% 15.6% 12.9% 11.4% 11.7% 9.8% 5.9% 3.3% 0.3%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 22.0% 20.1% 15.5% 13.9% 10.9% 9.1% 4.9% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Elizabeth Foulston 4.9% 4.5% 6.6% 6.3% 7.2% 9.0% 15.4% 25.3% 16.3% 4.5%
James Morgan 15.8% 15.9% 15.5% 14.0% 12.4% 11.3% 8.2% 5.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Riley Engelberger 14.8% 13.9% 14.0% 15.8% 14.1% 10.4% 9.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Colin Keil 8.8% 8.2% 9.5% 9.3% 11.2% 15.0% 13.5% 15.6% 7.5% 1.4%
Kyle Magno 6.5% 10.4% 10.1% 10.9% 13.1% 15.4% 15.4% 11.3% 5.2% 1.7%
Patrick Firth 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 5.3% 10.4% 35.4% 35.8%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 10.5% 10.8% 11.0% 12.5% 13.9% 12.1% 14.6% 9.9% 4.0% 0.7%
Benjamin Hayes 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 7.9% 24.6% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.