Race 6B

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mary Kate Mezzetti 25.3% 19.2% 16.4% 11.8% 9.3% 8.7% 5.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Colin Keil 7.9% 6.9% 10.3% 10.4% 12.2% 12.9% 15.9% 14.0% 8.3% 1.2%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 10.3% 10.8% 10.3% 10.9% 14.2% 13.7% 14.3% 10.6% 4.3% 0.6%
Riley Engelberger 13.4% 13.6% 16.7% 15.2% 11.8% 11.9% 9.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.2%
James Morgan 15.4% 16.0% 15.2% 14.6% 14.1% 10.9% 6.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Kyle Magno 9.9% 9.6% 8.4% 10.7% 12.1% 14.4% 13.0% 15.0% 6.0% 0.9%
Matthew Ricci 11.3% 16.6% 13.8% 16.2% 12.9% 11.5% 9.4% 6.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Elizabeth Foulston 4.2% 5.4% 6.9% 6.8% 8.2% 10.3% 16.2% 21.8% 15.5% 4.7%
Patrick Firth 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 6.4% 10.7% 34.2% 37.2%
Benjamin Hayes 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.8% 7.0% 25.8% 54.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.