Race 7B

tom-curtis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mary Kate Mezzetti 25.3% 18.9% 14.3% 13.1% 11.3% 7.5% 5.8% 3.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 10.4% 9.9% 13.1% 11.3% 12.5% 12.8% 13.3% 11.5% 4.4% 0.8%
James Morgan 14.2% 16.1% 14.2% 15.0% 13.6% 10.5% 9.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Kyle Magno 8.0% 8.4% 12.2% 10.4% 13.8% 13.2% 14.7% 13.1% 5.3% 0.9%
Matthew Ricci 14.4% 14.0% 14.4% 13.6% 13.5% 11.7% 9.3% 6.3% 2.6% 0.2%
Elizabeth Foulston 5.7% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 7.9% 10.7% 15.1% 20.7% 17.8% 4.6%
Colin Keil 6.2% 8.9% 11.0% 11.0% 9.9% 15.6% 14.7% 15.1% 6.4% 1.2%
Riley Engelberger 14.1% 16.3% 12.8% 15.5% 12.5% 11.0% 9.3% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Patrick Firth 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 5.1% 10.6% 35.3% 36.5%
Benjamin Hayes 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 3.9% 3.1% 8.2% 24.4% 55.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.