Race 8B

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mary Kate Mezzetti 25.7% 18.7% 16.3% 11.1% 10.8% 8.0% 5.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 10.0% 9.4% 13.6% 12.1% 12.1% 13.6% 12.7% 11.1% 4.4% 1.0%
Riley Engelberger 14.3% 14.0% 13.3% 12.5% 14.0% 14.3% 9.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.0%
Colin Keil 7.0% 7.7% 11.9% 10.8% 11.9% 13.0% 16.5% 13.6% 6.8% 0.8%
James Morgan 15.0% 17.2% 14.1% 15.1% 13.3% 10.6% 6.8% 6.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Kyle Magno 9.9% 9.5% 8.3% 10.9% 12.8% 12.5% 13.8% 15.1% 6.3% 0.9%
Matthew Ricci 11.5% 16.4% 13.4% 16.7% 12.8% 10.8% 10.3% 6.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Elizabeth Foulston 4.3% 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 7.8% 10.5% 15.0% 22.5% 15.7% 4.9%
Patrick Firth 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 6.2% 10.1% 34.5% 37.1%
Benjamin Hayes 1.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 6.7% 26.1% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.