Race 9B

tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rose Edwards 30.6% 22.9% 14.5% 13.6% 9.2% 5.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Keil 9.3% 9.6% 13.0% 14.7% 17.0% 16.5% 11.2% 7.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Michael Ince 4.4% 5.2% 7.3% 7.0% 9.8% 14.3% 25.2% 17.5% 7.6% 1.7%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 11.8% 11.9% 17.0% 16.8% 15.8% 15.0% 6.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Riley Engelberger 17.4% 19.0% 16.9% 16.6% 13.5% 8.7% 5.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Elizabeth Foulston 5.5% 8.0% 7.9% 9.6% 12.3% 17.8% 17.9% 15.1% 5.4% 0.5%
James Morgan 18.1% 20.4% 18.5% 15.6% 13.9% 8.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Patrick Firth 1.4% 1.6% 3.0% 2.9% 4.5% 6.8% 13.2% 25.8% 27.9% 12.9%
Benjamin Hayes 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 2.5% 2.4% 4.7% 9.6% 19.3% 34.0% 24.1%
Alexina Beckley 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 3.7% 8.0% 21.8% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.