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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.45+2.00vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.59+0.20vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.44-2.03vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-0.92vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Maryland-0.4517.9%1st Place
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3.36Princeton University-0.3213.5%1st Place
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3.2University of Delaware-0.5915.0%1st Place
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1.97Columbia University0.4443.2%1st Place
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4.08SUNY Stony Brook-1.307.9%1st Place
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5.38Monmouth University-2.582.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Grigg | 17.9% | 21.6% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 3.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 13.5% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 6.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 15.0% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 4.7% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 43.2% | 29.1% | 17.4% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Dimont | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 33.8% | 15.2% |
| Julia Marich | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.