Race 10B

lake-champlain-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 14.4% 14.7% 13.7% 11.4% 8.6% 9.2% 7.6% 6.6% 4.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Billy Rohman 9.5% 9.4% 8.6% 8.7% 7.8% 8.7% 8.9% 9.8% 8.8% 7.3% 6.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
Hunter Mumma 8.2% 9.3% 9.8% 7.4% 7.1% 9.5% 8.7% 9.8% 9.2% 7.6% 7.0% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6%
James Altreuter 7.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.7% 8.9% 9.3% 9.8% 8.6% 8.1% 7.4% 5.9% 4.4% 2.6% 0.6%
Rian Bareuther 8.4% 9.7% 11.0% 10.5% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 7.7% 8.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Trevor Burd 12.2% 11.1% 11.6% 11.7% 11.2% 8.6% 7.4% 8.2% 6.3% 6.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Nicholas Dragone 4.1% 3.2% 5.4% 5.1% 5.5% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 7.9% 10.1% 12.1% 12.4% 12.5% 4.9%
Christopher Price 11.5% 11.4% 8.3% 10.8% 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 7.6% 6.1% 7.1% 4.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Andrew Kurzrok 9.0% 7.7% 8.1% 8.5% 9.9% 10.2% 8.5% 9.9% 8.9% 5.9% 6.8% 3.8% 2.2% 0.6%
Andrew Moakes 7.2% 6.2% 6.5% 9.3% 9.7% 7.8% 9.1% 8.4% 9.2% 8.3% 6.9% 6.3% 4.0% 1.1%
Justin Marks 2.7% 3.5% 2.3% 2.6% 4.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.0% 7.8% 7.5% 12.0% 15.1% 14.4% 8.9%
Tyler Nemsdale 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 3.3% 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 7.6% 11.2% 16.1% 18.9% 18.0%
Edward Moan 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 2.7% 3.2% 4.7% 5.7% 9.6% 10.4% 14.5% 19.9% 16.5%
Natalie Fohl 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 3.5% 4.8% 6.5% 10.3% 17.3% 46.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.