Race 10B

tom-curtis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 13.5% 14.1% 15.4% 14.4% 16.3% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Rose Edwards 26.0% 24.0% 18.2% 14.6% 8.6% 5.4% 2.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Riley Engelberger 17.1% 17.5% 17.5% 16.5% 14.7% 10.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
James Morgan 18.6% 19.5% 19.3% 16.5% 12.4% 8.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin Keil 10.4% 10.4% 11.8% 15.1% 17.0% 16.7% 10.3% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Elizabeth Foulston 6.9% 6.1% 7.8% 9.5% 11.7% 18.1% 19.9% 14.7% 4.7% 0.6%
Benjamin Hayes 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.2% 8.8% 22.2% 36.1% 22.2%
Michael Ince 4.4% 5.6% 6.7% 6.9% 11.9% 16.0% 23.6% 16.0% 7.8% 1.1%
Patrick Firth 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 4.0% 3.8% 6.0% 13.1% 25.7% 28.7% 13.7%
Alexina Beckley 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 2.6% 4.3% 8.5% 19.9% 61.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.