Race 11B

tom-curtis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Riley Engelberger 19.7% 17.5% 18.5% 13.1% 13.1% 10.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
James Morgan 18.4% 20.2% 18.4% 14.9% 12.9% 8.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Rose Edwards 25.6% 23.8% 17.6% 16.4% 8.9% 4.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Keil 9.0% 11.0% 12.4% 14.9% 16.0% 17.9% 12.4% 5.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 13.0% 12.5% 15.4% 16.3% 17.8% 12.4% 7.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Elizabeth Foulston 6.7% 6.4% 7.4% 10.2% 11.6% 18.0% 19.3% 14.4% 5.4% 0.6%
Alexina Beckley 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 8.9% 20.0% 63.5%
Michael Ince 4.3% 5.3% 7.0% 8.1% 11.2% 15.4% 23.4% 16.6% 7.2% 1.5%
Patrick Firth 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 3.4% 4.1% 6.4% 12.0% 26.4% 31.0% 11.5%
Benjamin Hayes 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 2.4% 3.3% 4.2% 10.2% 20.5% 33.6% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.