← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.79vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+1.62vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego1.81+1.97vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-0.38vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.93+1.85vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+1.31vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.93-4.16vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-0.38vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California0.12-0.79vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis0.83-3.08vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-1.34vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California1.52-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
-
3.62California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
4.97University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.62California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
6.85University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
-
7.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
-
2.84University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
-
7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
8.21University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
-
6.92University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
9.66University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
-
5.22University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 25.4% | 25.0% | 19.6% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.2% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.2% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 27.4% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 2.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 17.1% | 53.8% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.