← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.93+1.83vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+1.62vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.16vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego1.81+0.96vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-1.38vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+1.77vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California1.52-1.50vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-0.80vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.93-2.39vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-0.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California0.12-2.78vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.83-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
-
3.62California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
2.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
-
4.96University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.62California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
7.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
5.5University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.61University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
-
8.22University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
-
6.74University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 26.3% | 23.1% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.2% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 25.6% | 24.3% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.2% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 23.8% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.