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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+0.73vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.81+0.92vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.93+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-1.52vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-0.82vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.12-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.83-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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2.73University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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3.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.92University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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3.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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7.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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7.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 26.7% | 24.8% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 28.9% | 24.1% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 24.0% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.