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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93-0.13vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81-0.03vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-1.51vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.93-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.12-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.83-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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2.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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2.87University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.97University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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7.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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7.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.59University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larsen | 14.5% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 30.7% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 24.8% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 14.5% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 57.6% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.