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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.77vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+1.62vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81-0.03vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.78+1.58vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.93-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.12-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.83-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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3.62California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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3.62California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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2.84University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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4.97University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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7.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 27.6% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.1% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.1% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 25.3% | 24.9% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 53.6% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 24.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.