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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.29vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-0.43vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-1.43vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.93-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-3.02vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.12-3.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.28-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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4.56University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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3.57California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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3.57California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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6.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Davis-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 26.9% | 25.4% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 27.5% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 15.7% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 15.7% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.4% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 27.5% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 22.9% | 15.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Bischak | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 24.3% | 51.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.