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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+2.25vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-2.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.93-0.69vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.78+0.22vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.12-3.24vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.28-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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2.66University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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5.25University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.53California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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4.54University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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6.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Davis-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larsen | 14.4% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 29.4% | 23.7% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 14.4% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 27.7% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 28.6% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Bischak | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 52.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.