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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+0.65vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+0.61vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-0.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81-0.33vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.28+1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.12-1.21vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.93-4.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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2.65University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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3.61California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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3.61California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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4.67University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Davis-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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7.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.2University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 27.5% | 25.2% | 21.3% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 29.4% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 15.1% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 15.1% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Bischak | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 52.0% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 30.2% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.