Race 11B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Kurzrok 7.9% 9.4% 10.1% 9.6% 8.4% 10.3% 8.1% 9.0% 8.6% 4.8% 6.0% 4.4% 2.8% 0.6%
James Altreuter 9.2% 10.0% 8.4% 10.2% 7.8% 7.7% 10.3% 10.2% 8.4% 6.7% 5.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5%
Christopher Price 10.5% 11.4% 10.0% 10.0% 10.3% 8.1% 8.8% 8.7% 8.2% 6.9% 3.4% 2.9% 0.3% 0.5%
Andrew Moakes 6.7% 7.1% 6.7% 8.4% 9.0% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 9.5% 8.2% 9.1% 4.3% 3.2% 1.1%
Hunter Mumma 7.1% 7.8% 9.0% 10.4% 9.5% 7.3% 8.2% 10.1% 8.1% 8.8% 6.8% 3.8% 2.8% 0.3%
Trevor Burd 11.8% 11.6% 11.6% 11.7% 9.0% 10.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.3% 5.7% 3.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Rian Bareuther 10.7% 11.5% 10.9% 9.4% 10.3% 9.3% 8.7% 7.9% 8.0% 6.3% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Billy Rohman 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 9.0% 6.9% 9.0% 9.6% 7.8% 8.2% 7.1% 4.7% 3.1% 0.7%
Tyler Nemsdale 2.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 2.8% 6.8% 7.4% 11.3% 15.5% 21.6% 16.5%
Nicholas Dragone 3.7% 2.5% 3.3% 3.0% 5.6% 7.3% 6.0% 5.4% 7.8% 10.8% 10.2% 14.5% 13.9% 6.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 14.7% 12.3% 13.4% 10.3% 9.9% 9.2% 9.0% 7.5% 4.9% 3.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Edward Moan 1.8% 2.2% 1.9% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.2% 6.2% 5.5% 7.9% 11.5% 14.9% 19.2% 17.4%
Natalie Fohl 1.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 4.7% 5.7% 10.2% 16.2% 49.1%
Justin Marks 3.0% 2.9% 3.5% 2.9% 5.1% 5.7% 7.0% 4.5% 6.6% 9.8% 14.0% 14.8% 13.1% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.