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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+0.65vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+0.64vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.93+0.32vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.12-0.32vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.52-4.82vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.28-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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2.65University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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3.64California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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3.64California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.67University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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7.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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6.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Davis-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 28.3% | 25.2% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 29.3% | 25.2% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 15.0% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 15.0% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.8% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Bischak | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 54.8% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 30.0% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.