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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+1.70vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81-0.43vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+0.96vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+0.21vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-4.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.93-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.12-2.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.28-1.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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3.48California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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4.57University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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7.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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3.48California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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6.2University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Davis-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 27.1% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.3% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 27.4% | 25.2% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 17.3% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Bischak | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 30.8% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.