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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.81+0.69vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-1.49vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-2.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.28+2.93vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.93-2.83vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-3.04vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.12-3.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.3%1st Place
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2.65University of Southern California2.930.3%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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4.69University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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3.51California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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3.51California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Davis-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.17University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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6.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 27.2% | 25.2% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 29.0% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 16.1% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 16.1% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Bischak | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 19.4% | 56.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.8% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 32.2% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.