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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+3.94vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.05vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.70vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+2.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.39+0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78-0.89vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.31-1.14vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.33-7.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.98-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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4.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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2.3University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.3%1st Place
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7.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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5.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Jensen | 6.1% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 20.8% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 6.1% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 35.0% | 29.0% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 22.3% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 46.4% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 21.2% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bush | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 86.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.