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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.78+3.25vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.31+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39-0.19vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.23vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.13vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.33-7.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.98-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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6.25University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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4.88California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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2.31University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.4%1st Place
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7.04University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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3.18University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Jensen | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 20.7% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 35.6% | 28.0% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 43.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 20.2% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bush | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 87.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.