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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+4.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.31+3.57vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+0.14vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.39-0.92vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.52vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.33-7.73vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.05-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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2.29University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.4%1st Place
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3.25University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.57University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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5.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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7.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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5.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.27University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Jensen | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 37.1% | 27.3% | 17.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 18.0% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 50.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 20.9% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.