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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.31+3.63vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+2.71vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.14vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.44-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.78-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.05-3.09vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.33-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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2.29University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.4%1st Place
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3.25University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.63University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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7.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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6.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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5.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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7.17University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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3.24University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Jensen | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 37.3% | 26.7% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 17.3% | 22.3% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.7% | 21.1% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.