Race 12B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James Altreuter 7.7% 8.9% 10.3% 9.3% 9.8% 8.6% 8.1% 10.0% 7.8% 7.2% 4.6% 4.0% 3.1% 0.6%
Hunter Mumma 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 9.0% 9.0% 7.6% 10.0% 9.8% 8.5% 6.7% 5.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Christopher Price 11.4% 10.4% 10.1% 9.6% 9.5% 10.6% 7.7% 7.9% 8.1% 6.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3%
Rian Bareuther 9.2% 10.6% 8.6% 10.5% 11.0% 10.3% 9.1% 6.1% 8.0% 6.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Andrew Moakes 5.5% 7.6% 7.1% 8.4% 8.4% 8.6% 9.5% 8.8% 7.9% 9.2% 7.8% 6.1% 4.4% 0.7%
Billy Rohman 8.3% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 9.3% 8.8% 8.6% 10.1% 7.8% 7.2% 8.5% 4.6% 2.7% 0.7%
Andrew Kurzrok 9.1% 10.5% 10.0% 9.4% 8.2% 8.6% 10.1% 9.5% 6.5% 7.4% 4.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Trevor Burd 12.2% 14.1% 10.2% 11.0% 10.2% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 7.4% 5.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Dragone 4.6% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 4.7% 6.0% 5.5% 8.6% 11.5% 12.8% 14.8% 11.8% 5.0%
Tyler Nemsdale 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.6% 4.3% 4.5% 6.2% 7.4% 10.7% 13.6% 22.0% 17.6%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 15.0% 12.2% 12.9% 11.4% 8.6% 10.7% 7.7% 7.1% 5.9% 2.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Justin Marks 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 4.8% 4.3% 6.3% 6.0% 8.4% 10.6% 10.9% 14.0% 13.4% 9.2%
Edward Moan 2.3% 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 2.1% 3.8% 3.5% 4.7% 6.2% 7.8% 10.6% 15.8% 18.6% 17.0%
Natalie Fohl 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 2.4% 2.7% 4.4% 6.6% 9.4% 17.5% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.