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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+2.18vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.31+2.47vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.44-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78-0.45vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.05vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.39-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.05-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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5.07California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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2.34University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.3%1st Place
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3.42University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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5.07California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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7.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.22University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 19.7% | 21.1% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 34.7% | 29.2% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 18.0% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.