← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+4.11vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.25vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+4.87vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.47-0.74vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.33-1.65vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.31+1.51vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.44-1.89vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis0.05-0.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California0.78-2.68vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.39-2.64vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.96vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
-
2.25University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.4%1st Place
-
7.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
-
3.26University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
-
3.35University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
7.51University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
5.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
-
7.86University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
-
6.32University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
-
7.36University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
6.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
9.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Jensen | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 38.5% | 26.0% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 19.2% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 17.1% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 39.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.