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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+0.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05-0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.18+0.27vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.15-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.3%1st Place
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1.58Tufts University2.050.5%1st Place
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3.27University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.26Bates College-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Mongeon | 34.7% | 45.2% | 16.4% | 3.7% |
| Sam Gates | 53.8% | 35.4% | 9.9% | 0.9% |
| Shane Baker | 7.0% | 8.4% | 34.9% | 49.7% |
| Katlyn Flynn | 4.5% | 11.0% | 38.8% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.