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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+0.58vs Predicted
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2Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-0.09vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.15+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.18-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Tufts University2.050.6%1st Place
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1.91Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.3%1st Place
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3.25Bates College-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 55.0% | 33.9% | 9.4% | 1.7% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 32.9% | 46.7% | 17.2% | 3.2% |
| Katlyn Flynn | 6.8% | 9.5% | 35.2% | 48.5% |
| Shane Baker | 5.3% | 9.9% | 38.2% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.