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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+1.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81-0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-1.50-0.09vs Predicted
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5Bates College-3.63-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.1%1st Place
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1.19Tufts University1.810.8%1st Place
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2.91University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.88Bates College-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Shanahan | 14.4% | 69.3% | 15.4% | 0.9% |
| Pierre DuPont | 82.2% | 16.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Donahoe | 3.2% | 12.9% | 73.8% | 10.1% |
| Emma Marchetti | 0.2% | 0.9% | 10.0% | 88.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.