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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.09vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+5.30vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.63+0.94vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.73+2.16vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65-1.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.79+0.07vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75+1.96vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College2.88-2.29vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.98+2.23vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University0.80+1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.83-2.25vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.80-3.27vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.77+1.79vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.61-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.62+0.97vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.14-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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7.3Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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6.16Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.81Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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8.96Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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5.71Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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11.23Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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11.52Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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8.73Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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14.79Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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9.44Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.82Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 25.5% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 15.8% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 16.9% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 33.1% | 22.7% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 59.1% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 8.4% |
| Byron Bell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.