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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+9.78vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+5.83vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.45vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+3.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+1.33vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-1.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-2.73vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-1.97vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.38vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-3.45vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.50-3.07vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-5.00vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-8.16vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.51-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.59Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.53Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.93Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.0Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 18.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.