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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.72vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+10.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+9.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+4.80vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.65vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+1.11vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.69vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-0.07vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97+0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-4.45vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-2.94vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-4.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.41vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-7.63vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-4.90vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.25Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.77Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.21Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.06Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.81Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.94University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.1George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 18.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.