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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+8.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.90vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+5.94vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.89vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+1.08vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+1.52vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+1.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.68vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.56vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.85vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-3.17vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-5.97vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.37vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-4.99vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-4.95vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.50-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.49Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.03Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.05George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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11.83Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 19.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.