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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+7.88vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+7.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.79vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+4.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+2.32vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+3.34vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.50+3.89vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51+2.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-0.97vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.85vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-2.22vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.33vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.42vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-4.97vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-10.44vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-10.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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5.64Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.34University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.89Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.96George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 14.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 20.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.