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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.54vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+6.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+6.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+3.00vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-2.33vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.28-0.37vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97+0.21vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.50+1.05vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-2.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.41vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-3.06vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-4.04vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.53vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.54Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.15University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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10.21Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.05Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.61Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.96George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte List | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 13.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.