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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.17vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.50+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.04-0.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-0.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1337.0%1st Place
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3.45SUNY Maritime College0.5013.0%1st Place
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2.94University of Pennsylvania1.0420.2%1st Place
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3.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6410.8%1st Place
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2.94Cornell University0.9319.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 37.0% | 28.4% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 4.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 13.0% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 22.4% | 31.0% |
| Ian Fox | 20.2% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 22.6% | 16.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 10.8% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 33.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.1% | 20.7% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.