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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+3.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.78vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+6.03vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+4.30vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.54+3.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.17vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-1.76vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.83-0.43vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.60+6.07vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80+1.52vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.79-2.93vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.92-5.54vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.93-3.89vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.35-2.85vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.50-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.57Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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15.07Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.52University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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9.1Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 18.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 54.6% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 6.7% |
| Christina Baker | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 22.3% | 18.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.