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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.30+6.18vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.80+6.69vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.15vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.63-1.11vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.98+5.28vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.83+1.70vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University0.80+3.39vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.79-2.89vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.73-3.89vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College2.88-5.21vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10+1.62vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.75-3.92vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.14-0.24vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.61-5.67vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.77-1.13vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.62-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.69Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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3.15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.2%1st Place
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3.96Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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11.28Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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11.39Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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6.11Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.79Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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13.62University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.08Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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13.76Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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9.33Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.87Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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16.09University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Gamber | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 24.1% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 16.9% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| James Allsopp | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Byron Bell | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 6.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 8.9% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 30.6% | 21.9% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 18.1% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.