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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+8.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.91vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+9.20vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.49vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+3.62vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.85vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-1.65vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-3.63vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.50+2.19vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51+0.94vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-1.42vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-4.20vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.43vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-6.81vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-6.33vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.46vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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5.91Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.2Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.97Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.19Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.94George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 18.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.