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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.81vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+7.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.40vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+4.16vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.50+6.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.84vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+1.99vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.98vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.87vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.78vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.58vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-4.25vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.70vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.46vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.51-3.78vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.95vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.10-11.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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5.4Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.1Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.22George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.22Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Holly Tullo | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 14.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.