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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.50+7.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.42vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+2.38vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.87vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-2.00vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49+0.31vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.33vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.91vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.58vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.06-5.94vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-4.77vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.3Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.2Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.