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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+8.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+5.17vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+7.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+4.05vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.88vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-2.37vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.50-1.59vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-6.15vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.21-6.63vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-4.74vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.3Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.17Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.41Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.26George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte List | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 20.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.