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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.23vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+7.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.76vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.83vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+2.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.90vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+0.49vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75+0.11vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-2.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.86vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.50-2.66vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-8.97vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-4.67vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.76Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.3Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.11Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.34Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.22George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 16.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 17.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.9% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.