← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.51+9.88vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.38+5.69vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.62vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.01+1.46vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.50+6.01vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.39vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.09vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.90+1.44vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.99+0.54vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.28-1.97vs Predicted
-
11Yale University4.10-5.71vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.49-0.74vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.75-2.61vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College3.06-4.85vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.21-6.59vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.92vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.97-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.88George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.69Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
5.46Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
11.01Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
-
5.91University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
9.44University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
8.03Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
5.29Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
11.26Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.39Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.15Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
-
8.41Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.46Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Sinagra | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 17.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.