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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.03vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+6.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.14vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+2.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.67vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-0.49vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.73vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-0.88vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-2.61vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-2.55vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.06vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.50-4.70vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.06-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.03Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.92Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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11.12George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.45Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.3Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 15.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.2% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% |
| Charlotte List | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.